THE TEAMS
- columbia (3-5)
- marist (3-6)
- st. john’s (8-1)
- Virginia Tech (6-4)
THE SCHEDULE
- Game 1: Saturday, 2 PM – columbia vs Virginia Tech
- Game 2: Saturday, ~4:30 PM – marist vs st. john’s
- Consolation Game: Sunday, Noon – Game 1 loser vs Game 2 loser
- Championship Game: Sunday, ~2:30 PM – Game 1 winner vs Game 2 winner
All games are being televised by MSG. For Comcast customers in the DC area the games are on Channel 262 (part of the sports package).
THE SETUP
The Hokies look to defend their Holiday Festival championship in the Big Apple this weekend. Tech continued their mastery at the self-proclaimed most famous arena in the world, Madison Square Garden, beating hofstra 84-59 in the first round and st. johns 54-48 in the title game in one of the ugliest games ever played. Watching that championship game was like getting a root canal and a swift kick to the biscuits at the same time.Â
The Holiday Festival title last year was Virginia Tech’s third tournament championship won in Madison Square Garden. VT also won the 1973 and 1995 National Invitational Tournaments in MSG. Tech is 3-0 in Aeropostale play. The Hokies beat seton hall in the first game of the Aeropostale Classic in MSG in 2006. That game was similar to the BB&T Classic in that is what not a tournament, just a four-team, two-game showcase.
For the Hokies, the rest of their season starts now. That sounds pretty obvious and not the type of thing you come here to read, but what I mean is starting this weekend, Tech will have their full roster. J.T. Thompson should be fully recovered from his hernia surgery and sprained foot injuries. The Hokies have really missed his defensive and rebounding intensity. J.T. should also provide another offensive option, something Tech has desperately needed beyond the Big 3 of Allen, Delaney, and Vassallo. Now we should be able to really judge the Hokies and their prospects for the rest of the season once Thompson gets into the flow of things and we see how he fits in.
Expect Thompson to play a wing spot, instead of in the low post where he mostly played last year. At least that’s where he was working out in the practices I saw this Fall. If he is in at the same time as Vassallo, I would expect he’d guard the other team’s shooting guard since he is quicker than A.D. Vassallo will likely match up with an opponent’s small forward or ‘slower’ wing player.
With the news that Hank Thorns likely won’t play this weekend (see the note above), that leaves Tech with just one quality ballhandler: Malcolm Delaney. Dorenzo Hudson and Terrell Bell will likely lose playing time with Thompson back, which has already started to happen with both. They did not do much with their opportunity while Thompson was on the shelf. Hudson is averaging just 3.3 ppg on 28% shooting and Bell is scoring 2.9 ppg on 27% shooting, 2/15 on threes (you should have seen his stats before his 12 point effort against longwood… actually, no you don’t).
If you are a Hokie fan, and chances are strong you are if you are reading this, you hope st. john’s wins Saturday along with the Hokies. Both teams should have little trouble. Both the red storm and Hokies are playing small schools that are struggling on the hardwood this year.Â
If Tech faces st. john’s in the finals, it would give VT another chance at a win against a ‘name’ school. Tech is currently 0-3 against the BCS conferences and also lost to xavier, who made the Elite Eight last year and is currently ranked #7 in both polls. And to think the Hokies would have that feather in their cap if it wasn’t for a desperation half court shot by a guy 0 for 8 up to that point.
BREAKING DOWN THE OTHER TEAMS
columbia (3-5)
Player to Watch: #5 Patrick Foley - Junior Guard (6’2″) – 13.4 ppg and 3.1 apg (both lead the team by a wide margin). Note: Foley missed the lions’ last game with an injury and his status is uncertain for this game.
In the first round the Hokies take on the columbia lions and their Ivy covered rears. columbia, the clemson of the Ivy League.
Tech has one common opponent with the lions: seton hall. columbia lost to the pirates 71-50, a significantly larger margin than what the hall beat VT by. columbia has only beaten fordham, (kobe) bryant university, and wagner, while losing to seton hall, umbc, albany, stony brook, and st. francis (NY). Not exactly murderer’s row.
Outside of Foley, columbia is very “balanced” on offense. By that, I mean they don’t have anyone else. After Foley’s 13.4 ppg, they have no one else averaging even 8.0 ppg. Last year they also only had one player scoring more that 8 ppg, and that guy is gone. They do have five players averaged 7.[something] ppg.
Both Foley and fellow starter Asenso Ampim (7.4 ppg) missed columbia’s last contest on December 9th with injuries. Their status is uncertain for the Virginia Tech contest, though they will have had 11 days to heal. Without Foley, this game could be ugly in a good way for the Hokies.
Foley does most of his damage going to the hoop. He is just a 17% shooter from behind the arc (sounds like Tech’s shooting guards) and doesn’t attempt many. Foley doesn’t get to the line all that much, either.
K.J. Matsui is the lions’ best threat from behind the arc, hitting two three-pointers per game and shooting 34%. As a team, columbia does not shoot the three well, hitting just 27% of their shots. They shoot under 40% from the field as a whole. But undersized teams tend to shoot more threes when they face a bigger team, such as Tech in this case. So the lions may chuck more threes in this game to avoid getting their shots blocked inside.
columbia will have the “home town” advantage in this game, being from New York City. That should help get them 100 fans instead of 50.
Summary: The lions average just 60.9 ppg, despite their weak schedule. Expect them to slow the pace and turn this into a half court game. While Tech has tried to run more of late, the Hokies are certainly comfortable playing a half court contest. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Tech use their full court trap in this game more to force the pace since the lions are unlikely to punish the Hokies off the press. Also, with Thompson likely back in the lineup, that gives the Hokies 9 quality players (if Thorns is out) to split minutes between, reducing the risk of Tech being tuckered for their game on Sunday. Expect the Hokies to roll in this one.
st. john’s (8-1)
Player to Watch: #1 D.J. Kennedy – Sophomore G/F (6’6″, 210 lbs.) – 14.3 ppg, 6.9 rpg (both lead the team). Kennedy is a lanky wing player who can score inside or outside (37% on threes, though he doesn’t attempt that many). Expect Thompson, Bell, and Hudson to draw the assigment of guarding him.
Many people consider the Big East Conference the top conference in the land this year. Some ‘experts’ believe they may place nine or ten teams in the Big Dance. st. john’s was not picked to be one of those teams. The red storm were picked to finish 14th out of the 16 teams in the league (unless they’ve added another school since I started writing this article which is quite possible).Â
One advantage st. john’s has in this tournament is MSG is their home away from home. But all that meant last year was about 3000 lethargic fans. Home court advantage was not a factor against the Hokies last year, and likely won’t be again this year. But the red storm are playing better than VT coming into this tournament. They just haven’t been tested yet, and the Hokies should be a good challenge for st. john’s.
The Bad News: The poor preseason prediction for st. john’s doesn’t necessarily mean good news for the Hokies. For example, seton hall was picked 13th and they handed Tech their second loss of the season in the 3rd place game in Puerto Rico last month. Also, the red storm (dare I make a menstruation joke here???… nah, too easy) have won six in a row coming into the tournament.
The Good News: Don’t let the 8-1 record fool you. st. john’s has gotten their eight wins by beating the little-sister-of-the-poors and east-popcorn-states of the college basketball world. Their only loss of the season was to boston college by 12, and bc was picked to finish 11th in the ACC, ahead of just lowly uva. st. john’s most impressive win (and it is a stretch to say that) might be their 19-point win over loyola (IL). loyola beat georgia by 21 (uh oh, maybe this is actually bad news). Of course VT hasn’t beaten anyone of note either.
The red storm placed no one on the preseason All Big East teams (13 players were on that list… I guess when you have 16 teams five isn’t enough). To make matters worse, st. john’s lost their leading scorer from last season, Anthony Mason Jr. (yes, he’s the son of the former NY Knick goon by the same name). Mason suffered a torn tendon in his foot against bc and will miss the rest of the season.
marist (3-6)
Player to Watch: #44 Ryan Schneider – Senior Forward (6’7″, 200 lbs) – 13.0 ppg and 8.6 rpg (both lead the team)
You may be wondering, “How bad is marist?” Well, to put it in perspective, they are in the MAAC. This is the same conference fairfield is in, who VT beat by 17 in puerto rico. And fairfield, so far this season, has been the best team in the MAAC. marist isn’t anywhere near as good as fairfield. That should sum up marist’s chances of beating st. john’s. Since I expect the Hokies to easily beat columbia, and therefore play st. john’s in the final, I’m going to quit wasting both our times right now and stop this summary of the red foxes (seriously, that’s their nickname!).
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