Last Wednesday in honor of Groundhog Day, Encore ran the Bill Murray movie of the same name all day. I wonder if Seth Greenberg wakes up every February and March and doesn’t wonder if he’s stuck in that film, repeating the same situation year after year.
If Virginia Tech basketball is anything, it is consistent. There are several words you could add after ‘consistent’, like -ly frustrating, -ly good, -ly average, but consistently on the bubble is for sure. Death, taxes, and no finger nails on Selection Sunday are the three givens in life as a Tech basketball fan. And with seven regular season games to go, this year looks no different, with VT having absolutely no margin for error the rest of the way:
|Year||Overall/ ACC Record*||RPI (Overall/ RPI/SOS)*|
|2010-11||15-7 / 5-4||#68 / .570 / .535|
|2009-10||23-8 / 10-7||#59 / .573 / .514|
|2008-09||18-14 / 8-10||#61 / .570 / .578|
|2007-08||19-13 / 10-8||#53 / .568 / .566|
|2006-07$||21-11 / 11-7||#34 / .594 / .577|
- *For past seasons this was VT’s record and RPI on Selection Sunday. ACC record includes ACC Tournament games.
- $VT made the Big Dance in 2006-07 as a #5 seed.
Looking at that table should scare the bejeebies out of you in terms of the Hokies’ NCAA Tournament hopes.
- Tech’s RPI right now is worse than it was in the previous three seasons when VT was shipped to the VT Invitational (the NIT) each year.
- Their RPI number (.570) is lower than last year, and just even with the 2008-09 team that everyone knew wasn’t Tourney-worthy.
- Teams as high as 40th in the RPI didn’t get in last year, as high as 34th in 2008-09, and high as 30th or 37th in 2007-08.
- VT’s strength of schedule (.535) is much closer to last year’s number than 2008-09 or 2007-08, and that was supposed to be a major focus of this year’s schedule. But that’s slightly misleading… more on that later…
There is still hope though at this point.
- The Hokies still have 7 regular season games left, including a tilt with defending champion duke, plus the ACC Tournament. I’m pretty sure there aren’t any games left for the previous three seasons now, so it is time to put up or shut up. duke is #8 in the RPI currently.
- Tech’s RPI number is higher than 2007-08 when Seth told the Committee they were ‘certifiably insane’ for not letting in a Virginia Tech team that won 10 ACC games and lost to unc in the ACC Tournament semi-finals on a shot in the final second.
- VT’s SOS is 83rd and certainly isn’t a black eye this year like it was last year. FYI: it was 133rd last year… while the out of conference SOS was terrible, is 133rd overall really that big of a deal?.
- We aren’t nc state, uva or wake (ugh).
And the biggest thing… The NCAA Tournament expanded by three teams this year. There are 31 automatic qualifiers, so now 37 teams will get at-large bids. If that had been the case last year, VT would have gone dancing. If the Hokies can finish strong this year, they should be in a similar spot or better if they can beat duke and/or win some games in the ACC Tournament. And Tech cannot get shut out every year, can they? Hmm. I wonder if Seth has his speech prepared already. Or just take care of business and punch your own ticket. Time to go All In.