Categorized | 2013-14 Season, Game Previews

The Week Ahead: Nov. 18-24 (Monday vs vmi; Fri/Sat – Coaches vs Cancer Classic)

I correctly predicted the Hokies would go 2-1 last week, but that was before losing the opener to usc-upstate (who has lost their two games since).  I think we can all agree 2-1 was a major victory considering the embarrassing loss to open the season and then being down 17 in the first half to wvu.  Since trailing 40-24 to wvu with 2:40 left in the first half, VT outscored their opponents 101-60 over the next 42:40 on their way to capturing those two wins.  And the Baby Birds really fueled the way — Emelogu had 38 points combined in the two wins and is 7/14 on 3-pointers on the season.  Trevor Thompson got his first career double-double (15/11) in the wcu win.  And Devin Wilson is proving to be a deadly slasher (that came out wrong), taking advantage of the tight hand-check calls, going for 9.3 ppg and 3.7 assists.  Add in 23 blocks from the Hokies on the season and it was a better than expected start (the games have become more interesting).

Oh, and I just realized wcu was playing us Friday less than 48 hours after playing AT #18 oregon.  They had to fly across the country and suit up against us less than two days later.  AND they played at liberty on Saturday (and won).  No wonder wcu looked so sluggish in the first half but give credit to the Hokies for taking advantage of it.

My only gripe is that Coach Johnson totally bailed on his defensive strategy.  Since being hired he has said he wanted to pressure the opponent.  Whether that be full or half court trapping, he wanted to force the issue.  But all we’ve done so far is half court man.  Out of fear of the hand-check calls, he’s backed off his philosophy and is only playing man, yet every one of our three opponents so far has used some sort of full court press and/or trap (even Huggy Bear). My advice to him would be: Be the coach you want to be.  If you are going to fail, fail your way.   Has Shaka stopped pressing at vcu because of the new rules?  Nope.  Is Pitino just playing half court D?  Nope.  Greenberg was a master at knowing when to switch the defense up to confuse the opponent, like going to a half court trap.  You can’t go man the whole game and just let the opponent get into a groove offensively.  JJ – Be who you want to be.

Moving on, here’s the week ahead:

  • Monday: Home vs vmi at 7 PM (Military Appreciation Night!)
  • Friday: vs #1* michigan state at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn on TruTV – Coaches vs Cancer Classic semi-finals
  • Saturday: consolation/championship game vs oklahoma or seton hall at 7 or 9:30 on TruTV (Go ahead and set your DVR for 7 PM)

* Note that michigan state is #2 at the time I’m writing this, but they beat #1 kentucky 78-74 this past week and are 3-0, so I’m moving them up to the top spot.

Stat of the Week: VT is 4-7 all time vs #1 teams but have won 3 of their last 5 games vs a #1 (2006 – unc, 2009 – wake, and 2011 – duke).  And their last three losses to a #1 have been by a combined 7 points, so VT has played #1s really tough.  But those were different teams, we’ll see how the Baby Birds respond.

Hokie Leaders (through Nov. 17):

  • PPG: Eddie – 15.0 (Emelogu 14.7)
  • Rebounds: Thompson – 8.0
  • Assists: Wilson – 3.7
  • Blocks: van Zegeren – 2.7
  • Steals: Raines – 1.3

Hokie Team Stats (through 11/17):

  • PPG: 76.3
  • Opp PPG: 69.0
  • FG%: 44%
  • Opp FG%: 35%
  • 3-Pt%: 38%
  • Opp FG%: 29%
  • FT%: 64%

VT vs the opponents:

  • vs vmi: VT 87-43 (VT has won 2 in a row with a 95-80 win last year at the Cassell)
  • vs michigan state: First ever meeting
  • vs seton hall: seton hall 4-2 but VT won the last meeting in Cancun by a 103-94 score (OT) in 2010

opponents’ Records This Season:

  • vmi: 3-1 (lost by 27 at wake but beat air force to win the Military Classic – they love to run and gun; could be an exciting, high scoring game)
  • #1 michigan state: 3-0 (beat #1 kentucky 78-74 then struggled with columbia – they are a veteran team)
  • oklahoma: 3-0 (beat alabama 82-73)
  • or seton hall: 2-1 (lost at mercer in 2 OT)

opponents’ Best Player:

  • vmi: Q.J. Peterson (21.3 ppg, 4.5 rpg, and 3.5 spg – gets to the line a lot, almost 10 times per game)
  • #1 michigan state: Adreian Payne (17 ppg and 8 rbg – 56% FG%) or Gary Harris (17 ppg, 5 rpg, 2.7 apg)
  • oklahoma: Buddy Hield (18.3 ppg, 5.0 rpg, and 2.0 spg – 7/14 on 3s)
  • or seton hall: Fuquan Edwin (19.3 ppg) or Sterling Gibbs (17.3 ppg, 5.7 rpg, and 4.7 apg)

Prediction:

The two games in Brooklyn at the Nets home will be good tests for the Hokies — michigan state is obviously way stronger than VT and it would take a miracle for VT to win… if VT gets seton hall in the Consolation Game they could beat them (they are picked to finish near the bottom of the Big East) — seton hall is similar to wvu in talent.  So, I could see us going anywhere from 0-3 to 2-1 but 1-2 is my prediction for the week.

This post was written by:

- who has written 1231 posts on Tech Hoops.

Niemo is a member of the VT Class of '98. While not a professional journalist by any stretch, Niemo analyzes and breaks down every minute of Hokie hoop action. He also researches topics of interest such as Hokie recruits, program revenue, statistical data on the team, previews VT opponents, and discusses his favorite bourbons/Scotches. In addition to his passion for Hokie hoops, Niemo has attended 126 straight VT football home games (every game since '94), eclipsing the 100 mark in September of '09 and recently attended his 20th consecutive VT/uva game. During the final home basketball game of his senior year, he was brought onto the court and was awarded 2 passes to the Atlantic 10 Basketball Tournament in Philly during a timeout for being a "Super Fan" during his time at VT. The Hokie Bird made the award on behalf of Athletic Director Jim Weaver. Niemo was known to be in the front row of every home game with his familiar red afro hairdo.

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  • Slam Dunk

    I agree, 1-2 for the week. 2-1 is not impossible. The main thing… be competitive, enjoy the experience, make your foul shots, and don’t embarrass yourself, your family, or Hokie Nation.

  • Chris

    2-1 would be great; am I crazy for thinking this team could potentially make a run at a NIT bid? Yeah, probably. I just hope we’re somewhat competitive against MSU; if we’re within 10 at the half and lose by 15-20 I’d call it a successful game. I’m not sure if we’re capable of it though; MSU is loaded with talent and experience.

    Not sure what “personal issues” Rankin is going through, but it would be cool if he suited up at some point. We need the backcourt depth, as we only have three guards on the roster right now (four if you count Johnston, and five if you consider that Eddie capable of playing the 2). Rankin has already been ruled out for tonight; I hope that whatever he’s going through isn’t too serious.

    Also, looking forward to seeing how Barksdale looks. IMO, he’s been a bust to date, but he still has time to turn the corner. He showed some positive signs towards the end of last season. Here’s to hoping he comes out aggressive and plays with some fire; he better, because Trevor Thompson is going to bypass him on the depth chart in no time if he doesn’t.

    • Niemo

      Chris – you are crazy :-) NIT is a loooooong way off. I bought into the hype early last year, I’m going to reserve judgment until at least 5 games into the ACC slate before I start thinking anything big for this team.

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2014-2015 Schedule/Results

November

11/14 - Hokies 71, md. eastern shore 46
11/19 - vs. liberty | 7pm, ESPN3
11/22 - vs. appalachian state | 1pm, ESPN3
**********
Cancun Classic
11/25 - vs. n. iowa | 7pm, CBSSN
11/26 - championship/consolation game | TBA, CBSSN
**********
11/30 - morgan state | 3pm, ESPN3

December

12/03 - @ penn state | 7:15pm, ESPNU
12/07 - vs. radford | 3pm, ESPN3
12/14 - vs. alabama a&m | 3pm, ESPN3
12/20 - vs. the citadel | 1pm, ESPN3
12/22 - vs. vmi | 7pm, ESPN3
12/27 - vs. presbyterian | 7pm, ESPN3
12/30 - @ west virginia | 2pm, ESPNU

January

01/03 - vs. syracuse | Noon, RSN
01/06 - @ fsu | 7pm, RSN
01/13 - @ louisville | 7pm, RSN
01/18 - @ unc | 6:30pm, ESPNU
01/22 - vs. notre dame | 7pm, RSN
01/25 - vs. uva | 1pm, ACCN
01/27 - vs. pittsburgh | 7pm, ESPNU
01/31 - @ wake forest | 2pm, RSN

February

02/03 - @ syracuse | 9pm, ESPNU
02/07 - vs. fsu | 3pm, ACCN
02/09 - vs. georgia tech | 9pm, ESPNU
02/14 - @ clemson | Noon, RSN
02/18 - @ miami | 7pm, RSN
02/21 - @ nc state | 6pm, ESPN2
02/25 - vs. duke | 9pm, ESPN2
02/28 - @ uva | 4pm, ACCN

March

03/02 - vs. boston college | 9pm, ESPNU
03/07 - vs. miami | Noon, RSN
**********
ACC Tournament
03/10 - 1st rd.
03/11 - 2nd rd.
03/12 - quarterfinals
03/13 - semifinals
03/14 - championship

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