Categorized | 2013-14 Season, Game Previews

The Week Ahead: Tuesday @ maryland (8 PM) and Saturday @ georgia tech (2 PM – ESPN2)

Spreads: georgia tech is favored by 7. maryland was favored by 12.

The regular season mercifully comes to an end this coming Saturday for the 2-14/9-19 Hokies after trips to maryland (7-9) and georgia tech (4-12).  Tech has already matched the 2000-01 Hokies in two categories of futility:

  • Losing Home Record: The Hokies went 8-10 at the Cassell this year, matching the ’00-01 stokies (6-9 at home) as the only two times in the 53 years of the Cassell VT has had a losing record at home.  But even that team won 2 conference games at home, this year’s Hokie squad went 1-8 in conference play at the Cassell.
  • Most Conference Losses: The ’00-01 Hokies went 2-14 in the Big East, and this year’s version has matched that mark for conference losses, and will likely surpass it this week thanks to two extra games.

With boston college’s win at wake forest on Saturday (can you say another nail in Bzdelik’s ridiculously huge coffin?), the Hokies clinched the 15th seed (i.e. dead last) in the ACC Tournament.  And the Hokies can only finish, at best, tied for last place in the league, marking the third straight year they’ve been in the cellar.

The Hokies will play the #10 seed in the ACC Tournament, which is… miami (as of today)!  So you are sayin’ there’s a chance!

Predictions: 1-1

Call me crazy but I see Tech knocking off georgia tech next Saturday.  The lesser tech has lost 5 of 6 with the lone win over bc.  A loss will surely put Gregory on the hot seat at gt, though he’ll likely get another year.  Plus, VT OWNS the lesser tech, with VT 14-5 all time against the jackets and are 4-2 at the Thriller Dome since joining the ACC.

Meanwhile, I think maryland is too deep (they’ll play 11 guys) for the razor thin Hokies to beat on the road in their final trip to the Communist Center as ACC rivals.  But wouldn’t it be sweet to return the favor to the terps, who beat us in our house in football this past fall, and knock off maryland in their building in their sport — hoops.  My brain just won’t let me pick it.

Schedule:

  • Tuesday (3/4) at 8 PM at maryland (7-9, 15-14) on the ACC Network
  • Saturday (3/8) at 2 PM at georgia tech (4-12, 13-16) on ESPN2 (why the heck is this game featuring teams with 6 total ACC wins on ESPN2?)

Trending:

  • maryland is 2-5 since defeating the Hokies on 2/1 and just lost to clemson in double OT (clemson held the terps to 56 in regulation and VT will likely take the air out of like the tigers did)
  • The jackets have lost 6 of 7 (they were beaten soundly at fsu on Sunday night) and 10 of 13 since January 11th.  They have not won back-to-back games since December 16th (and have lost at least 2 in a row for every 1 they win).

Team Stats  – ACC Games Only (through March 1st)

Note that this is where each team ranks in each major statistical category in ACC Conference Games only.

VT md gt
PPG 15 3 12
Opp PPG 7 11 10
FT% 15 7 13
FG% 15 10 11
Opp FG% 5 10 12
3-Pt% 12 8 6
Opp 3-Pt% 7 10 11
3s Made 7 3 9
Blocks 5 8 7
Assists 12 10 8
Steals 15 5 12
TO Margin 14 9 15
Off Reb% 11 12 13
Def Reb% 6 2 3

Of Note:

  • The Hokies were 17/21 from the line vs unc.  The four misses were all by Devin Wilson (8/12) including missing the front end of TWO one-and-ones.  That’s six points left on the table by your point guard in a four point loss.
  • Tech was 23/28 from the line for the week (82%). They were shooting just 59% from the stripe in ACC play before last week.
  • Joey van Zegeren is 5th in the ACC in blocks per game with 1.8.
  • Devin Wilson is 2nd in the ACC in assists per game with 4.8.
  • Tech has held 7 straight opponents to 71 points or less.
  • VT has no one in the top 20 in scoring in the ACC in conference play.
  • georgia tech played some zone at fsu Sunday and had a walk-on at the 2-guard.  It’s like looking in a mirror!

Hokie Leaders (through March 1st):

  • PPG: Eddie – 13.4
  • Rebounds: Eddie – 5.4
  • Assists: Wilson – 4.8
  • Blocks: van Zegeren – 1.8
  • Steals: Wilson – 0.8

Hokie Team Stats  — Overall (through March 1st — note that these stats and conference rankings are for all 28 games):

  • PPG: 64.2 (13th in the ACC)
  • Opp PPG: 67.6 (9th in the ACC)
  • FG%: 41% (15th in the ACC)
  • Opp FG%: 40% (5th in the ACC)
  • 3-Pt%: 36% (4th in the ACC)
  • Opp 3-Pt%: 33% (8th in the ACC)
  • FT%: 65% (12th in the ACC)

VT vs the opponents

  • (VT’s RPI is 224 and their BPI is 153):
  • at maryland (RPI #76, BPI #49): 
    • maryland is 31-10 overall vs VT
    • maryland has won 4 straight in the series
    • maryland is 8-6 vs VT in ACC play
    • maryland is 5-1 vs VT at home in ACC play
    • maryland beat VT 80-60 in Blacksburg a month ago – RECAP
  • at georgia tech (RPI #169, BPI #131):
    • HOKIES are 14-5 overall vs gt
    • HOKIES have won 4 of 5 and 7 of 9 (won at gt last year before losing at home to the jackets)
    • HOKIES are 10-4 vs gt in ACC play
    • HOKIES are 4-2 at gt in ACC play
    • This is the only meeting this season

opponents’ Best Player(s):

  • maryland: Dez Wells – 6’5″ Junior Small Forward - Dez had 19 points off the bench in 30 minutes in the first meeting on 6/9 shooting and 7/8 FTs.  Dez leads the team in scoring with 14.8 ppg.  He’s not a 3-point threat but attacks the rim and gets to the line a lot.
  • georgia tech: Trae Golden – 6’2″ Senior Point Guard (transfer from tennessee) - The former vol has led the jackets in PPG (12.6) and APG (3.0) in his first season in Atlanta.  He’s a decent 3-point shooter (1.3 makes per game at 31%), but shoots just 39%.  He’s not that good, and neither is this team.  Georges-Hunt and Carter, Jr. are two physical players that the Hokies will have to battle with inside, but VT did a good job on the unc bigs so I think they’ll be fine here.

This post was written by:

- who has written 1217 posts on Tech Hoops.

Niemo is a member of the VT Class of '98. While not a professional journalist by any stretch, Niemo analyzes and breaks down every minute of Hokie hoop action. He also researches topics of interest such as Hokie recruits, program revenue, statistical data on the team, previews VT opponents, and discusses his favorite bourbons/Scotches. In addition to his passion for Hokie hoops, Niemo has attended 126 straight VT football home games (every game since '94), eclipsing the 100 mark in September of '09 and recently attended his 20th consecutive VT/uva game. During the final home basketball game of his senior year, he was brought onto the court and was awarded 2 passes to the Atlantic 10 Basketball Tournament in Philly during a timeout for being a "Super Fan" during his time at VT. The Hokie Bird made the award on behalf of Athletic Director Jim Weaver. Niemo was known to be in the front row of every home game with his familiar red afro hairdo.

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  • Slam Dunk

    If the HOKIES play like they have the past 5 games… and if they shoot FT’s like they did against unc… then I like the chances of 1-1. What’s the injury report? Will we see Smith, Emelogu, or Raines?

    • Niemo

      Smith is done-ski for the season, I believe. Emelogu I doubt we see Tuesday given that’s just 3 days after our last home game which he wasn’t even dressed for. And Raines was dressed for Saturday, so I wouldn’t expect him, but how much would he have played even if he was healthy? 5-10 minutes?

  • mikelaut

    Long time reader, first time caller. Any concerns about how JJ’s perceived relationship with Raines could impact in-state recruiting?

    • Niemo

      Mike – Thanks for the call… If you read Cvillehoops over on TSL he states that JJ has really blown it in the Commonwealth and NC with AAU coaches and that the huge class of 16 and 17 has all but flown the coop for us. He’s only intimated at causes, so I’m not sure the Raines thing was a factor or not. But I would be concerned, absolutely. As it is he’s only bringing in 3-star talent. Some of those guys are better than advertised, but you can only find so many diamonds in the rough and these guys, while good, all have glaring flaws that they still need to improve upon, unlike higher rated kids.

      I really think cutting bait is the best option at this point for the long term success of our program. 2014-15 is going to be rough no matter what, I believe, so I’d focus more on 2-3 years from now and less on trying to keep 3 3-star recruits on-board. And I’d doubt we lose any current players simply over getting rid of JJ.

      • http://batman-news.com Les

        Wait too long and rival programs could get a jump on recruiting.
        Wake Forest is probably going to can Bzdelick. They’ve got the program legacy to hire a top-flight coach. Their recruiting area generally overlaps ours and historically have been able to get much higher-ranked recruits.
        I thought the downswing in recruiting would happen to Tech a several years ago when UVA, Wake, Maryland, and Clemson all underwent coaching changes at about the same time.

  • Blue Collar Hokie

    224 in the rpi? thats just. . . gah!

    • Niemo

      We actually moved up a spot this week! You know you are Rock Bottom when you lose two games and you are moving up in the RPI.

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