Tag Archive | "ACC-Power-Poll"

ACC Power Poll (Thru 1.23.11 Games)


The ACC LogoRandom ACC Notes:

  • I have never seen so many ACC teams play zone as this year.  miami, fsu, VT, uva, bc, and more have used it at times.  Simple fact is the ACC doesn’t have the shooters we are used to like Redick, Ellington, McClinton, Oglesby, and others that scared you away from zones.
  • VT is more or less tied for 4th in average home attendance in the ACC with 9636 (uva moved ahead by 12).  Pretty impressive considering VT has just the 8th biggest seating capacity.  And while I know that counts seats sold, not butts in seats, I’m pretty sure that’s how every other school counts attendance so at least we are selling our tickets.
  • unc moved to 55-0 at home against clemson this week.  And it isn’t like the tigers are that bad, they win 33% of the time at home against unc over the last 40 years.  What are the odds of going 0-55?  Has to be in the gazillions.
  • unc finally benched Larry Drew in favor of Kendall Marshall and nc state finally benched Javi Gonzalez in favor of Ryan Harrow.
  • georgia tech fell to 1-18 in ACC road games over the last 3 seasons with their loss at uva Saturday.  They are 6-37 over the last 6 seasons in ACC road games.
  • Sidney Lowe is 6-28 in ACC road games in 5 seasons.  Who’s worse?  Hewitt or Lowe?  I’ll at least give wake’s coach a year before I put him at the bottom.

WHERE DID THIS HOKIE OFFENSE COME FROM???!!!…

  • The Hokies are #1 in the ACC in FG% in conference games at 47.5%.  Quite the up-swing since they were shooting 43% overall a few weeks ago.
  • Tech is #1 in the ACC in FT% in conference games.  Can you believe that?  81%.
  • VT is #4 in 3-Pt% in ACC games at 40%.  (Thanks Manny Millions)
  • VT is averaging over 70 ppg in ACC play (remember when we couldn’t score 60?).
  • Tech has the 2nd highest scoring margin in ACC games at +10.4 (the 5-1 blue devils are barely ahead at +11.2).  Shows VT should not be 3-2, but that’s the breaks and Tech needs to roll this week.

VT Defense – Tech is #1 in 3-Pt% defense, #2 in the ACC in steals (thanks, Erick), and #3 in FG% defense.  Tech is still #2 in the nation in FT% ‘defense’.

ACC Power Poll (1.23.11) – Team, ACC record, ranking in last poll:

  1. duke (5-1, #1)
  2. florida state (5-1, #5) – Since looking awful at VT, the noles are riding the gravy train with biscuit wheels.  They’ve won 4 straight, including giving duke their only loss and taking down a 4-1 bc team.
  3. VIRGINIA TECH (3-2, #4) – With Tech’s win over longwood, the Hokies have won 9 of 10 since starting 4-4.  Their win at maryland was huge.  Tech has led by double digits in the first half of 6 straight games.  VT needs to take care of business at gt and home against miami this week to stay in the top 4.
  4. boston college (4-2, #3) – Can you believe bc, who is in 4th in the ACC, would be last in the Ivy League (0-2)?  Despite their 16 point loss to fsu (it was just 2 at the half), I still like the eagles.  They have a lot of veterans, which is huge in this league.  And Reggie Jackson is a stud.  He shot 63% from the field in their first 4 ACC games, but has cooled off this week in their 2 games (8/25 – 32%).
  5. north carolina (3-1, #2) – Even with bc’s loss to fsu, I’m not impressed enough with the heels to put them ahead of bc.  The eagles have veteran leadership, the heels have youngsters that seem to have no style and they continually come out of the gates slow.
  6. maryland (2-3, #9) – Everyone was hating on the terps after the whoopin’ they took from VT, but they responded less than 48 hours later with a huge win over clemson.  This is a good team that plays hard, and they have the ACC’s best player (though they seemed to forget about him against VT).
  7. clemson (2-3, #7) – The tigers had a tough week, falling to 0-55 all time at unc and then losing at maryland where they had a shot at the buzzer to win it.  but winning on the road is hard in the ACC (ask Hewitt or Lowe).  They get nc state and fsu at home which should help show how good they really are.
  8. nc state (2-3, #6) – Who can blow a 17-point second half lead at home?  Sidney Lowe can!  But they found a way to pull out a tough win against miami thanks to Tracy Smith’s heroics at the end.  Can Lowe win more than 5 ACC games this season?  Eh, I’ll wait for him to win a road game (not counting wake) first — he’s 6-28 in ACC road games at state and 0-2 this year.
  9. miami (1-4, #8) – I don’t know why I picked miami to move up from 12th place last year to the upper half of the league.  I guess I bought into their ACC Tourney run too much.  But they are still too young (no senior starters).  Could be pretty good next year, but way too streaky now and still can’t close close games — lost to fsu by 2 blowing a huge first half lead and lost at nc state by 2.
  10. virginia (2-3, #10) – uva is like LA Gear was in the late ’80s (unstoppable!) against teams with ‘Tech’ in their name.  uva won at VT, then waxed gt on Saturday.  The problem is they are 0-3 against everyone else and won’t have Mike Scott, their star, for the rest of the season.
  11. georgia tech (2-3, #11) – The good news is gt is 7-1 (overall) and 2-0 (ACC) at home.  The bad news is they don’t play all their games at home and they are 0-6/0-3 on the road this year.  Seriously, with their loss at uva Saturday, gt is 1-18 in ACC road games the last 3 years and 6-37 the last 6 years.  The good news is both their games are at home this week (VT, md).  The bad news is they let the ACC’s worst offense score 43 first half points on them (uva).
  12. wake forest (0-5, #12) – wake almost covered the spread against duke!  It was ‘only’ 22.5, which I thought was awfully low considering the deacons have now lost by 21, 19, 29, 35 (to gt, no less), and 24.  Their loss to gt was epic – they scored just 13 second half points (39 total), shot 26%, and 35% from the foul line (9/26!!!).

Posted in 2010-11 Season, Around The ACCComments (4)

Niemo’s Notes and ACC Power Poll | 3.1.10


It is officially March so let the madness begin!  Wow, what a turn of events the last week of February was for the Hokies.  They entered the week 21-4 and 8-3.  They exited Black History Month with three straight losses and firmly back on the bubble.  But that’s in the past and the Hokies have to forget about the week that wasn’t and make this the week that gets them in.

Tech has to win the nc state game on Wednesday (first game I’ve called a ‘must’ win all season).  The wolfpack have won two in a row over wake and miami and had maryland down double digits the game before that.  But you simply cannot lose to 4-10 teams at home and expect to make the Big Dance.

Random Thought: If I had offered you an 8-6 ACC record with a week to go, would you have taken it?  I’m not sure I would have.  We knew VT was playing the worst four teams in the ACC twice (it actually turned out they played the bottom five teams with unc’s downfall).  Tech is 6-3 against those bottom feeders (not great, but decent… and 5-2 if you take out unc), and 2-3 against the upper half of the league (same thing – not great but decent).  I guess that isn’t that bad and if the Hokies can pull out both games this week, that’s a strong performance.  But that’s a big if.

ACC First Round Bye and Top 4 Tournament Seed:

We know duke and maryland will be the top two seeds (they play this week).  unc’s win over wake Saturday was huge for the Hokies chances of getting a bye but the clemson comeback win over fsu was disastrous.  A tigers loss would have made it next to impossible for them to finish ahead of VT.  fsu blew a 13 point first half lead (the score was just 21-19 at the half in a game that set basketball back 50 years… and that included a half court shot at the buzzer by clemson).  Then the noles blew a 5-point lead with 90 seconds to go thanks to 1/4 from the FT line and 2 turnovers and lost 53-50 (it wasn’t that close, fsu scored at the buzzer).  With the win clemson swept the two games over fsu.

VT, clemson, fsu, and wake are all tied for third at 8-6 right now.  georgia tech looms in seventh at 7-7.  The first tiebreaker is head-to-head between all tied teams (in this case four teams), so let’s look at that for the four teams tied for third:

  • VT: 2-1 (done with these teams)
  • clemson: 2-1 (at wake this weekend)
  • fsu: 1-2 (play wake at home midweek)
  • wake: 0-1 (have to play @fsu and clemson at home)

Since VT and clemson have the best record against the tied teams, you eliminate fsu and wake and then you move to their head-to-head against each other, which gives the Hokies the advantage over clemson. So right now it is VT #3, clemson #4, fsu #5, and wake #6.  But obviously there is a lot of work left to go and tiebreakers will change as teams fall out of ties.  Obviously the worst case scenario is VT ends up tied with just fsu, or with fsu and clemson (clemson would win out there, then fsu, then VT).

We know this: if VT wins both games this week, they will get a bye in the First Round next week (and make the Big Dance, in my opinion).  After that, it gets a bit murky.  We also know if VT losses both they have almost no chance at a bye.

georgia tech is lurking, too, and have games against clemson and VT left so they can make up some ground and get some tiebreakers.  The jackets are 2-3 against the four teams tied at 8-6.

Some major streaks ended this weekend for the Hokies:

  • 14 game home win streak (every home game this year)
  • 9 game ACC overtime win streak (dating back to Feb of 2006)
  • 6 game overtime win streak – all games (dating back to the xavier half court shot early last year)
  • and of course the 7 game winning streak of the maroon dress jeans (piling on, my undefeated USA Loudmouth pants lost for the first time on Sunday… in overtime)
  • But hey – we finished 4-1 against uva and maryland in football and basketball this year – pretty awesome

ACC Power Poll (movement, ACC Record, RPI):

  1. duke (-) | 12-2 | #2
  2. maryland (-) | 11-3 | #25
  3. clemson (^^) | 8-6 | #27 (moved way up with win over fsu)
  4. VIRGINIA TECH (v) | 8-6 | #52
  5. fsu (^) | 8-6 | #41
  6. wake (vv) | 8-6 | #29
  7. georgia tech (-) | 7-7 | #33
  8. bc (^) | 5-9 | #101
  9. unc (^) | 4-10 | #87
  10. nc state (^^) | 4-10 | #110
  11. miami (-) | 4-10 | #102
  12. uva (vvvv) | 5-9 | #114

Note: I updated the RPI rankings as of Monday morning

Posted in 2009-10 Season, Around The ACCComments (0)

ACC Power Poll and Bracketology | 2.22.10


BRACKETOLOGY:

  • Joe Lunardi of ESPN has VT as a #9 seed in the West Region, playing baylor in the first round (not sure we’d want any part of them after last year’s beatdown in the NIT).  He has seven ACC teams in.
  • Jerry Palm has the Hokies as a #10 seed in the East playing old A-10 rival xavier.
  • The RPI has Tech sitting at #44 on Monday, seventh best in the ACC.  wake fell to #21 and clemson is #35.  maryland is #36.

ACC POWER POLL:

What can you say about georgia tech?  Not only are they awful on the road, they are also cursed.  maryland hit a banked half-courter at the end of the game to beat the jackets Saturday.  But Gary Williams had called a timeout.  So then they inbounded the ball to a bench player who drained a fadeaway three at the buzzer to win the game for the terps, putting the jackets at 1-6 on the road in ACC play this year and 6-33 over the last five seasons.

Notice the bottom five teams in the poll are the five teams VT plays twice.  Not good for the old strength of schedule.

Note: ^ = moved up a spot since the last poll, – = steady, v = moved a spot down; the number next to that is their RPI.

  1. duke (11-2 | 23-4) (-) (RPI #2): beat unc by 10 and then waxed maryland, last week’s #2
  2. maryland (9-3 | 19-7) (^) (#36): Won 3 games last week to vault into second all by themselves.  Could they be tired by Saturday with six games in 15 days?
  3. VIRGINIA TECH (8-4 | 21-5) (^) (#44): I think all of us were happy with a split last week.
  4. wake (8-5 | 18-7) (vv) (#21): Lost at VT and nc state.  Not a good week for them.
  5. clemson (7-5 | 19-7) (^) (#35): Throttled uva but it actually hurt their RPI.
  6. fsu (7-5 | 19-7) (^) (#40): They swept the jackets so I’ll move them ahead based on that.
  7. georgia tech (6-7 | 18-9) (v) (#33): The jackets played one game at home and one on the road.  If you read this site regularly, you already know what happened in those games based on that.
  8. uva (5-7 | 14-11) (-) (#108): Something seems strangely normal… ah, there it is, the hoos are sucking it up in a sport people actually care about.  They lost their 3 games last week by a combined 61 points.
  9. bc (4-8 | 13-13) (^) (#104): Beat unc at home to give them momentum and confidence heading into their rematch with VT.
  10. unc (3-9 | 14-13) (v) (#92): They were chanting “NIT” recently during a unc loss.  Ha, they wish.
  11. miami (3-9 | 17-9) (-) (#88): miami led duke by 12 at the half.  If games were 20 minutes, they’d be golden.  Instead, the devils egged them in the second half.
  12. nc state (3-10 | 15-13) (-) (#116): Led maryland by 10 at home and choked, but then blew out wake.  Signs of life in Raleigh.  Can Sidney Lowe somehow keep his job?

Posted in 2009-10 Season, Around The ACCComments (0)

ACC Power Poll and VT RPI Breakdown | 2.7.10


ACC POWER POLL:

The Hokies closed out the first half of ACC play by sweeping unc and clemson at home.  Tom Emanski isn’t going to making an instructional videos of the Hokie offense, but Tech found a way to win both games with gritty defense and an inspired effort, fueled by two wild crowds.  That puts Tech at 18-4 and 5-3 in the ACC.  Only duke has a better record overall at 19-4, and VT now sits in fourth place in the league.

The Hokies were the big movers in my poll, while most of the rest of the league was stagnant.  Teams have started to sort themselves out into the leaders (duke and maryland), the middle of the pack (wake, VT, gt, fsu, uva, clemson), and the NIT’ers (unc, bc, nc state, miami):

  1. duke (-) (7-2 | 19-4): The devils waxed georgia tech at home and then squeezed out a win in Boston.  They now face a struggling heels team this week.  But the game is at unc so you know heels will give their best, and be the underdogs for once.
  2. maryland (-) (6-2 | 16-6):  The terps rebounded from a loss at clemson by winning at fsu and crushing unc at home.  Their offense leads the league in scoring and their veteran lineup is feasting on the young ACC teams.
  3. wake forest (^) (6-3 | 16-5): wake beat miami and home and held off the hoos in ch’ville in overtime.  Big win to move them into third and drop the hoos to fourth.  The deacons swept the hoos.
  4. georgia tech (v) (5-4 | 17-6):  Stop the presses – the jackets lost on the road and won at home this week.  They continue to be the worst road team ever.  I would have put the Hokies here at #4, but VT has to play the other tech in Atlanta, so advantage gt.
  5. VIRGINIA TECH (^^) (5-3 | 18-4): Solid sweep of the tigers and heels.  I’m just surprised the referees’ whistles still worked by the end of the games since the peas had to be worn out.
  6. fsu (v) (5-4 | 17-6): The noles lost at home to maryland, getting swept by the terps.  But they rebounded to beat miami at home.
  7. clemson (v) (4-5 | 16-7): The tigers lost their only game of the week to VT and now have lost four of five.  The good news is PG Demontez Stitt is back.
  8. uva (-) (5-3 | 14-7): I still cannot get excited about a team where four of their league wins are against nc state (2), unc, and miami, who are a combined 6-19 in league play.  And their biggest win came against georgia tech in ch’ville, and we all know the jackets can’t win on the road.  Plus, the hoos have to play five of their final eight on the road.
  9. unc (-) (2-6 | 13-10): The chants of “NIT” rained down on the heels as they lost by 21 points at maryland.  Having already lost to VT earlier in the week, the heels have now lost six of seven ACC games.  NIT might be a stretch, you have to finish over .500.
  10. bc (-) (3-6 | 12-11): The eagles played yet another top team tough, missing a three to tie duke at the end.  But they lost… again.
  11. nc state (-) (2-7 | 14-10): The pack got swept this week, losing at uva and georgia tech.  They have lost four of five.  But why are they confident this week?  The Hokies, who have never won at state since joining the league, are coming to town on Wednesday.
  12. miami (-) (2-7 | 16-7): miami got back to doing what they do best – losing.  After beating the Hokies last Sunday, they lost at wake and fsu.  The good news is five of their final eight are at home.

RPI:

Tech sits at #61 in the latest RPI.  Not exactly secure in terms of getting a NCAA Tournament bid.  The biggest problem is Tech’s schedule, ranked just 180th in D1 (though it moved up a lot this week).

I said 8-8 gets the Hokies in before ACC play started, now I might have to adjust that to 9-7 to be safe.  But that just requires 4-4 the rest of the way, certainly doable.

Here are where the Hokie opponents rank in the RPI.

Wins:

  • clemson – 40
  • seton hall – 60
  • unc – 79
  • miami – 83
  • georgia – 90
  • uva – 92
  • bc – 106
  • iowa – 196
  • campbell – 200
  • delaware – 216
  • penn state – 224 (psu is 0-11 in Big(11)Ten play)
  • unc-g-spot – 248
  • longwood – 256
  • brown – 269
  • charleston southern – 274
  • vmi – 324
  • umbc – 341
  • nccu – 346

Losses:

  • temple – 18
  • fsu – 43
  • unc – 79
  • miami – 83

As you can see, the Hokies have just one Top 50 win (i.e. the pool of at large teams) to date in three tries.  They are 6-4 against the Top 100 which is solid.  Tech has four more games against teams currently in the top 50:

  • duke – 3
  • wake – 15
  • georgia tech – 25
  • maryland – 46

The Hokies must win at least one of those to pad their resume, two should definitely get VT in the dance without a doubt.  Unfortunately, none of those games are this week.  So all the Hokies can do is go out and keep winning and the rest should take care of itself.  The VT strength of schedule will continue to go up the rest of the way.

Posted in Around The ACC, HomeComments (2)

Around the ACC | Niemo’s Power Poll | 1.24.10


Yet again this week the conference action left you wondering if anyone wants to win the league or even get a first round bye in the ACC Tournament.  clemson, who I had #2 coming into the week, lost both their games.  duke, who I thought was a solid #1, lost in Raleigh to a crappy nc state team.  And georgia tech, who I was going to move up to #2 after beating clemson at home, proved yet again that Paul Hewitt has no idea how to win outside of Atlanta when they lost at fsu on Sunday (the noles swept the jackets).  Hewitt and his jackets are now 6-29 over the last five seasons on the road in ACC play.

Games were not as competitive this week.  After close bc over miami and gt over clemson games on Tuesday, five of the final seven ACC games of the week were decided by double digits.

uva finally lost, getting blown out at wake thanks to foul trouble for star Landesberg.  And they almost lost at home to a lousy unc-wilmington team.  Still not buying into them as a contender.

At the bottom, I said whomever lost the miami-bc game would go to the #12.  And the u earned that last place moniker by blowing a 17-point second half lead to get swept by the eagles.

With each ACC team having played between four and six games, uva and maryland sit in first place, both at 3-1.  Ugh, even though it is early and won’t last, it still stings my eyes to see that.

Here is what I think the ACC rankings should be right now:

  1. nobody
  2. nobody
  3. duke
  4. maryland
  5. to 9. everyone but bc, nc state, and miami, whom I have 10 to 12.

But let’s go ahead and rank the teams just for the heck of it.  Movement since last week’s poll is as follows: ^ = moving up, – = same, v = moving down.

  1. duke (4-2) (-): lost at nc state, won at clemson
  2. maryland (3-1) (^^): won OOC, won vs. nc state
  3. wake forest (4-2) (^^): won at unc, won vs. uva
  4. clemson (3-3) (v): lost at gt, lost vs. duke
  5. georgia tech (3-3) (-) – won a home nail-biter vs. clemson, lost a nail-biter at fsu
  6. unc (1-3) (vv) – blown out by wake at home, but to be fair, didn’t have Zeller or Davis
  7. florida state (3-2) (^): won vs. gt
  8. Virginia Tech (2-2) (v): won OOC, won vs. bc
  9. uva (3-1) (-): won OOC, lost at wake
  10. nc state (2-4) (^): won vs. duke, lost at maryland
  11. boston college (2-4) (^): won at miami, lost at VT
  12. miami (1-4) (v): lost vs. bc

That said, you’d probably have a better shot right now of picking the final ACC standings if you grabbed my flat-brim VT hat, threw each school’s name in the hat, and saw what you got (that is about as scientific as I think you can be right now).

Posted in 2009-10 Season, Around The ACCComments (0)


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