Tag Archive | "unc-020213"

The Wild Turkey Breakdown | unc


In Virginia Tech’s last seven road games, they have:

  • Had a 9-point lead at fsu with 75 seconds to go (fsu would go on to win the ACC Tournament)
  • Possessed the ball at #7 duke with the score tied and the shot clock off
  • Had the same situation at unc as with duke (possession with a chance to take the final shot)

As you know, the Hokies lost all three games to the three best programs in the ACC.  An epic fail from the line and Mr Big Shot Snaer did them in at Tallahassee (the only road venue VT has not won at since joining the ACC), neither Green nor Raines could make their shots at the end of regulation at duke (and they’d lose a close one in OT), and Green took a tough step-back jumper at unc with a taller defender in his face before Tech would get blown out in overtime at unc.

3 road games, 3 chances with VT in control at the end, 3 losses.  This is a bitter pill especially in the final two instances because you don’t get many chances to win at Cameron Indoor or in Chapel Hill (just ask clemson about the latter considering they’ve never won there in 50+ opportunities).  Tech has won at unc and duke since joining the league (both were in 2007), but wins like this are program builders, or perhaps program rebuilders, and the Hokies missed their chance on Saturday… again.

THE GLASS HALF FULL:

  • Quick Starts: Tech came out and did exactly what I thought they’d do yesterday – play their tails off on the big stage that is the Dean Dome.  Too bad they couldn’t quite finish it and walk off the court a winner yesterday, but they showed again they could compete.  After not scoring in the first five minutes against uva or clemson, Tech jumped out to a 28-16 lead vs miami and a 12-0 lead over unc yesterday.  It is a heck of a lot easier playing with a lead then it is playing uphill all game.
  • The Other Side of the Nation’s Leading Scorer: Erick Green is a really good point guard, and not just at scoring, but protecting the ball.  In Tech’s last three games he has 12 assists to just 1 turnover (he had 4-to-0 yesterday).  As you’ll see below, everyone else has not been as efficient.
  • Raines’s Days: After scoring just one point at clemson, Cadarian responded with 22 points, 14 rebounds, and 3 blocks this week.
  • Defense: In a four game stretch from colorado state through bc, the Hokies gave up an average of 91 ppg and no less than 86 in any of those four contests.  In the six games since, VT has given up an average of 66.5 ppg (in regulation, not counting OT) and held 3 of those teams under 65 points.
  • 3-Point Defense: Holy cow, an opponent had an off night from behind the arc!  This is the first time in 8 ACC games, or 12 games overall, that a VT opponent did not shoot a higher 3-Point % than their season average AND have more makes (3s) than they average.  Tech held unc to 5/24 behind the arc for 21%, both well below their averages.  Reggie Bullock, a 45% 3-point shooter (#2 in the ACC), was just 1/8 from deep.  Zones are usually susceptible to 3-point shooting but it didn’t hurt Tech yesterday, so let’s credit it to improved perimeter defense.  More on the zone below…

THE GLASS HALF EMPTY:

  • I didn’t like the play at the end.  I’d have liked to have seen EG drive and either try to finish (and possibly get fouled) or dish to a post player.  What’s the worst that happens?  If you charge with possession of the ball, there are no free throws for the opponent, so it’s low risk.  Didn’t like the step-back jumper considering Strickland was taller than EG.  But, hindsight is always 20/20.  It goes in and I have this up in the other section.
  • Turnovers: Tech had just 3 turnovers at the half but committed 11 in the second half.  Too many possessions wasted on bad passes. Brown and Eddie each have 8 turnovers in the last two games (Erick Green has ZERO).
  • Offensive Rebounds: Zones are not good for defensive rebounding and the Hokies proved that point yesterday.  unc snagged 19 offensive rebounds in 43 opportunities (44% – way too high).
  • 2-3 Zone Defense: JJ played the zone to  counter their foul trouble in the post and to save energy but I felt he should have scrapped the zone in the final 5 or so minutes and gone back to man, even if it meant some guys fouling out sooner.
  • Zone Part 2: The high post killed us.  Namely McAdoo.  He had 22 points and 10 rebounds.  How many of his points came on wide open jumpshots from the foul line when unc fed the high post?  Why Raines wasn’t flashing out on him faster (or at all in some situations), I don’t know.  But Tech did not adjust and this burned the Hokies all game.
  • Fading Offense: Tech shot 47% in the first half including 4/9 (44%) from behind the arc and had just 3 turnovers.  In the second half, they didn’t attempt a 3-pointer, shot just 32% from the floor, and had 9 turnovers.  In OT they hit just 2/7 FGs, 0/4 on 3s, and had 2 more TOs.
  • Brown: After hitting 3/5 shots including 2/3 three-pointers against miami, Robert fell back into his slump yesterday, going 3/12 on FGs and 0/2 on 3s.  He’s now shooting 26% in ACC play and 13% on 3-pointers.
  • Whistles: unc shot 27 free throws, VT 10.  That’s BS.  The refs game the heels a lot of home town calls which I would not have expected in an off year for them.  And shouldn’t the best player in the ACC get some calls?  He didn’t shoot a single free throw despite averaging almost 8 per game.  Hopefully this was just bad officials and not a sign of things to come.

Well, Saturday was progress.  I remember Tech losing by 39 at unc five years ago.  At 2-5 and as 14-1/2 point dogs, Tech could have laid down yesterday.  If only we could have pulled out that game that quite frankly was ours, it would have been great to shut up those snobby blue bloods.  Hopefully Tech can keep this positive play going AND find a way to win this week, and snap this 4-game skid.

Posted in 2012-13 SeasonComments (3)

Game Plus/Minus | unc 72, VT 60 (OT)


Take out overtime and the starters had pretty good numbers.  C.J. Barksdale had an eye-popping +11 the problem is he only played 19 minutes due to foul trouble (keep in mind he didn’t score but had a +11… interpret that as you will… I read it as he is a much better post defender and rebounder than what Tech has on the bench).  C.J. now has the best plus/minus on the season.

unc Season Wins Losses Avg +/-
Player +/- +/- 11 10 Per Game
Barksdale +11 57 7.4 -2.7 2.9
Brown -10 41 11.5 -9.4 2.1
Green -11 25 14.5 -13.4 1.2
Eddie -10 20 10.3 -9.3 1.0
Wood -10 9 5.8 -6.2 0.6
Raines -6 -11 6.8 -8.6 -0.5
Patrick DNP -5 -1.5 0.5 -0.8
van Zegeren -15 -32 4.0 -7.6 -1.5
Donlon DNP -7 -4.0 0.5 -1.8
Johnston 0 -33 0.1 -4.3 -1.9
Racer DNP -20 -9.5 -0.3 -2.9
Beyer 0 -47 1.3 -11.9 -3.4
Rankin -9 -93 1.3 -10.5 -4.9
TEAM -12 -20 11.5 -14.6 -1.0

Posted in 2012-13 SeasonComments (0)

Game Highlights | unc (5-3) 72, VT (2-6) 60 (OT)


Hokies fall to 2-6 with a heartbreaking 72-60 loss in overtime at Chapel Hill as Erick Green was held below 20 points (16) for just the second time this season.
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Posted in 2012-13 Season, HighlightsComments (0)

Game Recap | unc (5-3, 15-6) 72, Hokies (2-6, 11-10) 60


Make it three in a row for the Hokies! Three “moral” victories. After that, make it four straight losses for Coach James Johnson and his squad.

For just the second time this season, Erick Green did not score at least 20 points in a game, going more than 16 minutes without a point in the second half as the Hokies blew a 12-point first-half lead and went on to lose 72-60 in overtime in Chapel Hill.

Green finished with 16 points. For the first time since the Hokies beat then No. 15 ranked oklahoma state, and for the first time in ACC play this season, four Hokies scored in double figures. In addition to Green’s 16 points, Jarell Eddie had 15, Cadarian Raines had 12 (his second straight game with double figure scoring), and Robert Brown added 10.

Even though unc is not ranked and is having a “down” season, playing in the dean dome is never easy. The Hokies came out en fuego this afternoon. They exploded out of the gate for a quick 12-0 lead and were playing well and in sync.

Not surprisingly, however, the tar heels didn’t stay cold for long and eventually whittled away at Tech’s lead. The Hokies managed to keep the heels at bay for the first 30 minutes. unc didn’t earn its first lead of the game until midway through the second half, just about the time the Hokies hit their usual dry spell.

While James Michael McAdoo led unc in scoring with 22 points, it was freshman Marcus Paige that had the big day and was quickly inducted into the TechHoops.com Opponent Hall of Fame. Paige, who averages 6.8 points per game, scored a career-high 19 against the Hokies. He also hit a career-best four three-pointers.

The Hokies had their chances, but a combination of ice-cold shooting, poor rebounding, and some questionable no-calls in the final minutes sent the game into OT.

Green and the Hokies actually had a shot to win the game on the final possession, but he forced up a bad shot and air-balled it. unc got the rebound with 1.6 seconds left, but couldn’t convert at the other end.

OT was all unc as the heels outscored the Hokies 17-5.

Posted in 2012-13 Season, Game Recaps, Opponent Hall of FameComments (12)

Opponent Hall of Fame | unc


After each loss we’ll induct a new player (from the opponent) into the TechHoops.com Opponent Hall of Fame after Tech makes them look like the greatest player in the world.

It was a tough decision between Chaz Michael Michaels (James Michael McAdoo who had 22 points and 10 rebounds) and freshman Marcus Paige, but I went with the frosh because once again we allowed a guy a career high performance from behind the arc:

  • 19 points, 5 assists, and 5 rebounds
  • Career high 19 points (previous high 15, previous ACC high was 10)
  • Career high 4 made 3-pointers (previous high was 3, previous ACC high was 2)
  • Tied career high with 5 rebounds
  • Made 4 of unc’s 5 three-pointers
  • Had just 20 made 3s on the season coming in and was under 30% as a 3-point shooter

Past entries:

  • miami: Shane Larkin (son of MLB Hall of Famer Barry Larkin) - ACC career high 25 points (previous ACC high was 18); Career high 5 three-pointers (on 10 attempts, no less); Career high 2 blocks; 3 steals; and 8/15 on 3-pointers in 2 career games vs VT, 39 points (19.5 ppg vs VT, 10 ppg vs everyone else)
  • clemson: K.J. McDaniels - Tied his career high with 17 points. 5/7 from 3-point range (came into the game shooting 31% from behind the arc, averaging 1.1 makes per game, and had made more than two 3-pointers in a game just once in his career with a previous high of 4)
  • uva: Evan Nolte - Career high 18 points (previous high was 15 points and he hadn’t reached double digits in an ACC game before tonight).  5/9 on 3-pointers (hadn’t made more than 3 in a game before tonight but was 42% from behind the arc coming in)
  • bc: Lonnie Jackson.  He was 23/74 (31% from behind the arc before tonight, but went 5/8 tonight (63% – doubling his %).  He finished with 22 points, 8 more than his previous season high of 14.
  • maryland: Jake Layman – 18 points in the 1st half on 6/7 FGs and 4/5 3-Pointers (he came in shooting 17% from behind the arc – 5/29).  20 points for the game, doubling his previous career high.  He averaged 3.2 ppg before this game.
  • byu: Tyler Haws – 42 points on 14/25 shooting (6/8 from 3-point range).  Averages less than half that per game – 20.9 ppg.  Has made more than 2 three-pointers in just 2 other games.
  • csu: Dorian Green – 18 points on 5/6 from 3-point range.  Green was a 30% 3-point shooter coming into the game, but found his stroke against the Hokies, going 5/6 from deep and is now a 37% 3-point shooter on the season.
  • wvu: Kevin Noreen – averaging 2.5 ppg as of 1/8/13, had 14 points on 6/10 shooting and 2/3 on 3-Pointers. He also had 12 rebounds (he has just 41 total rebounds on the season after 12 games played).  FYI: these are his only 3 three-point attempts all season, and he only has 1 other in his previous 2 seasons.

Posted in 2012-13 SeasonComments (0)

Preview | VT (2-5, 11-9) @ unc (4-3, 14-6) | Saturday at Noon | ACC Network


Spread: unc by 14.5.

In every game there must be a winner and a loser (except in soccer). And the Hokies have been quite hospitable of late, losing 9 of 13 overall and 5 of 7 in league play. But enough of that, Virginia Tech is going to win Saturday. Let me say it again — THE HOKIES ARE GOING TO WIN SATURDAY! Ah, that felt good.

Yes, I realize the game is at unc. Not unc-g-spot, or unc-charlotte, or unc-pembroke. It is at Chapel Hill. I don’t care. Am I guaranteeing a win? Well, no. That never works for me anyway. But I really do think Tech will win this ballgame, and I’m 51% sure of it! Here’s why:

  • Noon kickoffs stink. heels will come out flat, VT will come out fired up playing in the Dean Dome. Green’s played there twice already so he won’t be in ‘awe’ and Raines and Eddie have also already played there.
  • Minds elsewhere. unc watched a scary injury happen to their teammate at bc on Tuesday (more on that later) and might not be totally focused. Plus, they’ll be shorthanded.
  • unc ain’t that good… by unc standards. They’ve lost 3 ACC games and 6 overall already. Remove their third leading scorer, and they are even weaker.
  • unc ain’t that big (see below – just one guy over 6’9″ and he only averages 11 minutes).
  • The heels love to push the ball — heck, Tech can finally get out and run and gun more! unc has the third fastest tempo in the land. Let’s see if JJ’s style can win out.
  • We are due. WE ARE DUE! It’s time to go out and kick some butt and get a big win! We may just be 5-28 at unc all time, but that’s 5 wins better than clemson (0-for-fifty-something at unc). I’m tired of being negative. I believe, and expect, we can win this game!

P.J. Hairston suffered a concussion in the game at bc, getting run into by a teammate and then hitting his head on the court. After being helped up, he collapsed again onto the floor. He had to be taken off on a stretcher and is doubtful for this game (he won’t play, I guarantee it in this age of concussions). P.J. was Pretty Jacked up after it happened and not having him costs unc their third leading scorer (12.4 ppg) and second best 3-point shooter (38% and 43 makes).

Chaz Michaels Michaels, a.k.a. James Michael McAdoo from the 757, has developed into a heck of a player, scoring 14.7 ppg and snagging 8.7 rebounds. But the sophomore also turns it over a lot and is just a 58% foul shooter.

We’ve documented VT’s problems guarding the 3-point shot. Well, enter Reggie Bullock. The junior guard is 19/46 in his 7 ACC games on 3s (41%). He had 22 at the half against maryland. He’s made at least 2 three-pointers in 8 straight games, including 5 against mcneese state. He could score 30 on the Hokies if they don’t stay out on him and fight over screens (instead of going under).

Leslie McDonald is also a decent 3-point shooter (43% but only 25 makes) and Marcus Paige, their freshman PG, has 20 made 3s at a 30% clip (he’s the one to watch out for if recent trends continue). The heels get a lot of assists (almost double what VT gets). Limiting turnovers will be key against unc (VT had 17 TOs vs miami).

This is not your typical heels squad in the post. They have just one player over 6’9″ and that’s Joel James, who is a freshman that plays just 11 minutes per game. McAdoo is 6’9″ but just 230 lbs, and Brice Johnson, another frosh, is 6’9″ but just 187. Hairston was a physical guard, but that doesn’t matter now. Tech shouldn’t be dominated in the post and match up much better than they did against miami.

So there you have it — Hokie victory. Get the good Scotch ready. We’re winning in Chapel Hill.

Preview VT unc

Posted in 2012-13 Season, Game PreviewsComments (3)


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